Chiefs vs Ravens
- Ravens are rested, and healthy. Mark Andrews is back, Marlon Humphrey is likely to play. Chiefs lost their All-pro guard Joe Thuney, Willie Gay isn’t trending towards playing and that is big because he’s the one who they use to spy on mobile QB’s, someone you would need when going against Lamar Jackson
- Stat To Know: I mentioned it last week but I’ll say it again. Games with 10+ mph winds are going UNDER 65% of the time over the past 3 seasons
- KC’s script last week isnt gonna work this week. They were able to take advantage of the middle of the field where Buffalo was missing linebackers. That’s not gonna work against the Ravens, they rank 3rd by DVOA against the deep ball as well, could be the best linebacker core in football.
- Ravens run game > Chiefs run defense. Ravens rushing DVOA is number 1 in the league thanks to Lamar. And this goes into the gameplan I think. Ravens running the ball and keeping Mahomes off the field
Best Bet: Lamar Jackson 2+ rushing TD’s (+650)
Fun Fact: Steve Spagnuolo has been the Chiefs’ defensive coordinator since 2019. In that time no team has allowed more rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks (26) in the regular season than the Chiefs
Lions vs 49ers
- We got the best offense in football this year up against one of the worst remaining defenses.
- San Fran gets a lot of credit for being a solid D but since Week 15, their defense ranks 25th in rushing yards allowed and 28th in yards per carry.
X-Factor: Aidan Hutchinson, the pride of Michigan. needs to pressure Purdy and get him to the ground. He’s had 8 sacks in the past 4 games, guy is a game wrecker, need Purdy uncomfortable back there because we know what he looks like when hes uncomfortable. And this, this is the only way Detriot wins, is if they can win the battle in the trenches.
Best Bets: Jahmyr Gibbs ATD (+120) & Lions +7
Fun Fact: Lions are 13-6 ATS, second best cover rate in football, catching 7 points in a Championship game? Give me Detriot +7
Home of Sheffield Shuffler 
Leave a comment